Seasonality
Seasonality
2025-12-04

How Smart DTC Brands Use Flexible Capital to Outmaneuver Chinese New Year Delays

Paig Stafford

As U.S. ecommerce brands come out of Black Friday Cyber Monday (BFCM) and push through the final stretch of holiday execution, they are also running headfirst into a critical deadline: Chinese New Year on February 17th, 2026. There is a compressed window where founders must fulfill peak-season demand and secure Q1 inventory before the CNY supply chain slowdown.

Prepared DTC brands are already securing inventory and locking in funding  to move faster than the market. Supplier shutdowns and freight delays are inevitable, but they’re also predictable. That makes this the perfect window to pull ahead.

The brands that win Q1 2026 aren’t scrambling to react to delays. They’re funded to move through them. With the right capital in place, you avoid stockouts, maintain momentum, and stay ready for early-year demand. In this blog, we’ll show how fast-moving brands use inventory financing to avoid Chinese New Year delays, stay in stock, and turn Q1 into a growth accelerator.

How 2026 Chinese New Year Will Impact Your Supply Chain 

CNY (also known as Lunar New Year or Spring Festival) is one of the most significant holidays in Asia. It marks the start of the new lunar calendar and prompts widespread factory closures across mainland China and neighboring regions.

As workers head home for traditional celebrations, production slows dramatically. Most factories shut down for two to four weeks, halting manufacturing and delaying shipments across the global supply chain.

China accounts for nearly 29% of global manufacturing output. For U.S. ecommerce brands that rely on Asian suppliers, CNY isn't just a seasonal slowdown. It's a predictable disruption that can derail Q1 if you're not prepared.

Capital Delayed Means Growth Denied. If you're waiting to place orders, you're already behind. Here’s what the 2026 CNY production cycle is expected to look like:

Expected 2026 CNY Production Timeline

Timeline Production Stage
Late January – Early February 2026 Production begins winding down for suppliers across Asia.
Mid-February 2026 Factory employees start heading home for the holiday season.
February 16, 2026 Full factory workforce has departed. Production stalls completely.
February 17, 2026 Chinese New Year.
Late February 2026 Employees begin returning to work after CNY celebrations.
March 8, 2026 Most staff are back. Production begins to resume.
March 17, 2026 Operations near full capacity.

Source:shipbob.com/blog/chinese-new-year-shutdown

Plan It. Fund It. Stock Up Before CNY 2026 Delays Hit.

Forecasting demand isn’t the challenge. Acting on it is. As Q4 wraps and Chinese New Year 2026 approaches, ecommerce brands that delay placing purchase orders (POs) risk falling behind. Without ecommerce working capital to build inventory early, even the sharpest demand plans can’t convert into revenue. The brands that build momentum through the CNY window aren’t just predicting demand. They’re funding it.

If you’re waiting for Q4 cash flow to free up before preparing for Q1, you’re already loosing time. The true cost of delay isn’t just margin. It is lost speed, momentum, and market share.

Use Demand Forecasting to Inform  Capital Planning

Q4 results reveal exactly what drove performance, making it the ideal moment to align your capital strategy with what worked. By analyzing returns and pinpointing high-performing SKUs, brands can invest in Q1 with clarity and confidence.

Still, poor demand forecasting often leads companies to over-allocate capital, some by 20 to 30%.The brands that build market share and gain an edge  won’t just know what to fund; they’ll understand when. By aligning growth capital planning with sales cycles, founders can secure inventory and build buffers before delays hit.

Get Flexible Funding Before Your Competitors Do

CNY squeezes production and freight capacity. Shipping costs from Asia spike by 8% or more during the rush, and supplier cutoffs come earlier than expected. Founders who secure funding ahead of time move faster, place larger POs, and lock in better terms.

With Clearco’s fast, flexible  funding, brands can shift from reacting to planning. They can access capital with capped weekly payments, no dilution, and no personal guarantees. That is how funded operators turn holiday pressure into a Q1 advantage.

Don’t Let Returns Season Stall Your Q1 Growth

The spike in returns after the holidays  puts real pressure on cash flow, especially with large POs in motion and Q4 revenue still clearing. But founders don’t have to trade speed for margin.

Did You Know: ~ 16% of holiday retail sales are predicted to be returned this season

That’s where Clearco’s performance-based capital becomes your strategic advantage. Clearco’s payment model adjusts with your actual sales. No fixed payments, no dilution, and no rigid terms. That flexibility keeps campaigns moving, shelves stocked, and growth on track.

Keep Inventory High to Capture Every Q1 Order

After CNY, production lead times can stretch up to six weeks, with port congestion adding another two to three. Brands that delay ordering will face empty shelves just as Q1 demand picks up.

Stockouts cost more than inventory. They cost customers and loyalty.43% of shoppers turn to competitors when products are out of stock. That is why high performing brands use DTC ecommerce funding to:

  1. Place larger orders early
  2. Absorb increased holding costs
  3. Use inventory as a long-term growth lever

Why Clearco Capital Is the Competitive Edge DTC Brands Need

If you're forecasting demand, you should be funding it. Chinese New Year doesn’t have to stall your growth. With Clearco, it becomes an opportunity to lead.

What sets Clearco apart:

  • Revenue-based funding with no dilution or fixed payments
  • Fast approvals and capital that moves at your pace
  • $3.5 billion deployed to over 10,000 ecommerce brands

Take Ricardo Larroudé, Co-founder and CEO of Larroudé, the luxury footwear brand known for rapid growth and fast inventory turnover:

“You can't grow 100% year over year without capital”

Clearco gives fast-scaling brands the funding to move early, secure inventory, and maintain  momentum when others stall. With the right strategic capital partner, Q1 isn’t a recovery period. It’s your next growth chapter.

Turn Chinese New Year Delays into Q1 performance:

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